Controversial opinion: LTV isn't hard to assess for a young business with mostly new customers.
The LTV calculation is the same for any business: how much money you got, divided by the number of customers.
Speculation about how much they'll buy in future... whether one-timers or churnable subs... is outta scope. I'll chase that revenue but its chickens ain't hatched yet.
My project has earned about AU$6500 in the last 30d, after a year and a bit in business. So I decided to calculate some LTV rudimentary numbers. I'm using the 30d window here.
Revenue: $6470
New customers: 80
Emails collected: 576
My LTV of a paying customer is now:
$6470 / 80 = $80.10
The LTV of an email address signup (list or purchase) was surprisingly high:
$6470 / 576 = $11.20
My conclusions:
The product, in case you're wondering, is a personalized picture-book about art history: Selfarama.com. Sorta niche, sorta not ;)
This is based on a rambling long-form tweet I just tweeted: https://twitter.com/TomFromRealLife/status/1787685337227256312